Stochastic Simulation of Machine Breakdown

Elbahlul Musa Abogrean

Abstract


This paper explores the value of stochastic simulation as a tool for predicting current or future reliability of machinery or component parts, it helps to enhance and certify more realistic results by increasing the confidence levels by carrying out replications and seeing the changes that occur.

A simulation model has been constructed based on theoretical fundamentals has been developed which support the creation of the main elements for building and implementing stochastic models accurately. It represents the processes of a machine that has three parameters; namely those are drill head, dusting and lubrication. The consumption of these parameters results in the development of a probability of failure for the machine that can be validated by the Hugin software.


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DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5296/jpag.v2i1.1285

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