Initial Performance of IPOs and the Bankruptcy Risk: A Comparison of Internet Firms and the Traditional Firms

Nguyen Nguyen Quang My, Peter S. Kim, Mustafa Sayim

Abstract


This study examines whether Internet Firms’ IPOs have more of a tendency to fail than Traditional Firms’ IPOs. IPO issue has long been known as an interesting yet complicated topic to explore. There are heated debates on whether Internet Firm IPOs outperform or underperform Traditional Firm IPOs. In other words, whether investment risks associated with Internet Firms are different than Traditional Firms? Should investment decision-making process be different for Internet Firms than Traditional Firms? In this study, Internet Firms are defined as companies that are providing goods and services through Internet. Furthermore, all other types of companies are considered as Traditional Firms. The Z-score formula for predicting bankruptcy of Altman (1968) was utilized. Then the two-way factorial ANOVA was conducted with the type I error as 0.05 to test the Z-Score across 12 quarters from January 2012 to December 2014. The findings revealed that both Internet Firms and Traditional Firms generally had similar risks as no one type of firms showed significantly higher risks than the other.


Full Text:

PDF

References


Aggarwal, R., & Rivoli, P. (1990). Fads in the initial public offering market? Financial Management, 45-57.

Altman, E. I. (1968). Financial ratios, discriminant analysis and the prediction of corporate bankruptcy. The Journal of Finance, 23(4), 589-609.

Altman, E. I. (1968). Financial ratios, discriminant analysis and the prediction of corporate bankruptcy. The Journal of Finance, 23(4), 589-609.

Altman, E. I. (2000). Predicting financial distress of firms: revisiting the Z-score and ZETA models. Stern School of Business, New York University, 9-12.

Altman, E. I. (2002). Revisiting credit scoring models in a Basel 2 environment. Cedit Rating: Methodologies Rationale and Default Risk. London Risk Book

Álvarez, S., & Gonzalez, V. M. (2005). Signaling and the Long‐run Performance of Spanish Initial Public Offerings (IPOs). Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 32(1‐2), 325-350.

Bartov, E., Mohanram, P., & Seethamraju, C. (2002). Valuation of Internet stocks—an IPO perspective. Journal of Accounting Research, 40(2), 321-346.

Bhattacharya, N., Demers, E., & Joos, P. (2010). The relevance of accounting information in a stock market bubble: evidence from Internet IPOs. Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 37(3‐4), 291-321.

Botman, M., Roosenboom, P. G. J., & van der Goot, L. R. T. (2004). Valuing Internet stocks at the initial public offering. The Rise and Fall of Europe's New Stock Markets, 11, 131.

Botman, M., van der Goot, T., & van Giersbergen, N. P. (2004). What determines the survival of Internet IPOs? Amsterdam School of Economics Research Institute (ASE-RI)

Carter, R. B., Dark, F. H., & Singh, A. K. (1998). Underwriter reputation, initial returns, and the long‐run performance of IPO stocks. The Journal of Finance, 53(1), 285-311.

Chen, A., Chen, R. C., & Pan, K. L. (2002). The performance of initial public offerings conditioning on issue information: The case of Taiwan. Asia Pacific Management Review, 7(2), 167-190.

Chen, G., Firth, M., & Kim, J. B. (2000). The post-issue market performance of initial public offerings in China's new stock markets. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 14(4), 319-339.

Choi, S. D., & Nam, S. K. (1998). The short-run performance of IPOs of privately-and publicly-owned firms: international evidence. Multinational Finance Journal, 2(3), 225-244.

Demers, E., & Joos, P. (2007). IPO failure risk. Journal of Accounting Research, 45(2), 333-371.

Ehrhardt, O., & Nowak, E. (2001). Private benefits and minority shareholder expropriation: empirical evidence from IPOs of German family-owned firms (No. 2001/10). CFS Working Paper.

Gannon G. (2011). Picking Net-Nets: Why Retained Earnings Matter. Retrieved from: http://www.gurufocus.com/news/136426/picking-netnets-why-retained-earnings-matter

Gasbarro, D., Bundoo, S., & Zumwalt, J. K. (2003). Underpricing and aftermarket performance of IPO firms in Mauritius. Journal of Emerging Market Finance, 2(3), 315-335.

Goldman, M. B., & Sosin, H. B. (1979). Information dissemination, market efficiency and the frequency of transactions. Journal of Financial Economics, 7(1), 29-61.

Hand, J. R. (2000). Profits, losses and the non-linear pricing of Internet stocks. Available at SSRN 204875.

Hanley, K. W. (1993). The underpricing of initial public offerings and the partial adjustment phenomenon. Journal of financial economics, 34(2), 231-250.

Intania, R., & Nugroho, A. B. (2014). Correlation between Bankruptcy Score and Market Performance: Developing Altman’s Z-Score Model. Paper presented at 7th Asia-Pacific Business Research Conference, Bayview, Singapore.

Jaskiewicz, P., González, V. M., Menéndez, S., & Schiereck, D. (2005). Long‐run IPO performance analysis of German and Spanish family‐owned businesses. Family Business Review, 18(3), 179-202.

Jelic, R., Saadouni, B., & Briston, R. (2001). Performance of Malaysian IPOs: Underwriters reputation and management earnings forecasts. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 9(5), 457-486.

Jim Barbagallo. 2014. IPO Communications: Challenges and Opportunities. Retrieved from: http://pilotcommsgroup.com/2014/06/10/ipo-communications-challenges-opportunities.

Kooli, M., & Suret, J. M. (2004). The aftermarket performance of initial public offerings in Canada. Journal of Multinational Financial Management, 14(1), 47-66.

Krishnan, C. N. V., Ivanov, V. I., Masulis, R. W., & Singh, A. K. (2011). Venture capital reputation, post-IPO performance, and corporate governance. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 46(05), 1295-1333.

Lyn, E. O., & Zychowicz, E. J. (2003). The performance of new equity offerings in Hungary and Poland. Global Finance Journal, 14(2), 181-195.

Mazzola, P., & Marchisio, G. (2002). The Role of Going Public in Family Businesses' Long‐Lasting Growth: A Study of Italian IPOs. Family Business Review, 15(2), 133-148.

Michael Kende. (2014). Global Internet Report. Retrieved from: http://www.Internetsociety.org/sites/default/files/Global_Internet_Report_2014_0.pdf

Neil Kokemuller. (2015). The Impact of Negative Retained Earnings. Retrieved from: http://smallbusiness.chron.com/impact-negative-retained-earnings-60298.html

Peter Fuhrman. (2012). Too Few IPOs Rather Than Too Many -- The Coming Crisis In China Investing. Retrieved from: http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/445816-peter-fuhrman/338951-too-few-ipos-rather-than-too-many-the-coming-crisis-in-china-investing

Rajan, R. (2008). Bankers’ pay is deeply flawed. Financial Times, 9.

Ritter, J. R. (1991). The long‐run performance of initial public offerings. The journal of finance, 46(1), 3-27.

Schultz, P., & Zaman, M. (2001). Do the individuals closest to Internet Firms believe they are overvalued? Journal of Financial Economics, 59(3), 347-381.

Sham G. (2011). How An IPO Is Valued. Retrieved from: http://www.investopedia.com/articles/financial-theory/11/how-an-ipo-is-valued.asp

Steve Schaefer. (2010). The IPO Class Of 2011. Retrieved from: http://www.forbes.com/2010/12/21/ipo-class-2011-markets-equities-groupon-linkedin-hca.html

Stock Market Secular Trend Review. (2012). Retrieved from: http://www.prometheusmi.com/2012/10/27/stock-market-secular-trend-review-4/

Trueman, B., Wong, M. F., & Zhang, X. J. (2000). The eyeballs have it: Searching for the value in Internet stocks. Journal of Accounting Research, 137-162.

Van Frederikslust, R. A., & van der Geest, R. A. (2001). Initial returns and long-run performance of private equity-backed initial public offerings on the Amsterdam Stock Exchange. Rotterdam School of Management.

Vance, D. E., & Mascarenhas, B. (2014). Are there Simple Indicators as to Which IPOs Outperform the Market over the Long Term? British Journal of Economics, Management & Trade, 4(2), 183-196.

Weber, J., & Willenborg, M. (2003). Do expert informational intermediaries add value? Evidence from auditors in microcap initial public offerings. Journal of Accounting Research, 41(4), 681-720.




DOI: https://doi.org/10.5296/rbm.v2i2.7811

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Copyright (c) 2015 Nguyen Nguyen Quang My, Peter S. Kim, Mustafa Sayim

Research in Business and Management    ISSN 2330-8362

Copyright © Macrothink Institute  

To make sure that you can receive messages from us, please add the 'macrothink.org' domain to your e-mail 'safe list'. If you do not receive e-mail in your 'inbox', check your 'bulk mail' or 'junk mail' folders.

If you have any questions, please contact rbm@macrothink.org

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------